February, 2012

12 dead in killer tornado outbreak

February 29th, 2012 at 3:54 pm by under Weather

Harrisburg, IL Tornado damage - AP Photo

HARRISBURG, Ill. (AP) — A pre-dawn twister flattened entire blocks of homes in a small Illinois town Wednesday as violent storms ravaged the Midwest and South, killing at least 12 people in three states.

Winds also ripped through the country music mecca of Branson, Mo., damaging some of the city’s famous theaters just days before the start of the busy tourist season.

The tornado that blasted Harrisburg in southern Illinois, killing six, was an EF4, the second-highest rating given to twisters based on damage. Scientists said it was 200 yards wide with winds up to 170 mph. (more…)


More wildflowers this spring

February 29th, 2012 at 9:09 am by under Weather

It seems our wetter than normal winter will do some good this spring!  UT and the Lady Bird Johnson Wildflower Center are saying the wildflowers this year will be more bountiful than last year.

Courtesy: Flaigg, Norman G.

Winter Rains in Texas Bring Good Spring Wildflower Show

AUSTIN, Texas — Timely rains last fall and this winter have benefited early spring wildflowers, which will likely put on a good show in much of Texas despite last year’s drought, according to the senior botanist at The University of Texas at Austin’s Lady Bird Johnson Wildflower Center.

“The seeds left behind by annual wildflowers such as bluebonnets don’t care if it’s the worst drought in recorded history, as long as they get bouts of rain at the right time for germination and growth,” said Damon Waitt, who also is the center’s senior director.

The bumper crop of wildflowers in 2010 also helped add to the seed stockpile in Texas soils that can be revived by recent rains. Rain showers should provide decent viewings in regions of North, Central and East Texas. However, it is possible that the Panhandle, South and West Texas won’t fare as well.

(more…)


Tsunami debris drifts toward U.S.

February 28th, 2012 at 10:39 pm by under Weather
Hoisting up to a Russian ship, the STS Pallada, a Japanese boat registered to Fukushima prefecture and, presumably, washed into the ocean during the March 11, 2011 tsunami.

HONOLULU — (AP) Tsunamis generated by the magnitude-9 earthquake in Japan last March dragged 3 million to 4 million tons of debris into the ocean after tearing up Japanese harbors and homes.

Scientists believe ocean currents are carrying some of the lumber, refrigerators, fishing boats and other objects across the Pacific toward the United States.

One to 5 percent of the 1 million to 2 million tons of debris still in the ocean may reach Hawaii, Alaska, Oregon and Washington and British Columbia,  said University of Hawaii senior researcher and ocean current expert Nikolai Maximenko.

That’s only a portion of the 20 million to 25 million tons of debris the tsunamis generated altogether, including what was left on land. (more…)


The Fireballs of February

February 27th, 2012 at 1:30 pm by under Weather

Meteor over Texas Feb. 1st

In the middle of the night on February 13th, something disturbed the animal population of rural Portal, Georgia. Cows started mooing anxiously and local dogs howled at the sky. The cause of the commotion was a rock from space.

“At 1:43 AM Eastern, I witnessed an amazing fireball,” reports Portal resident Henry Strickland. “It was very large and lit up half the sky as it fragmented. The event set dogs barking and upset cattle, which began to make excited sounds. I regret I didn’t have a camera; it lasted nearly 6 seconds.”

Strickland witnessed one of the unusual “Fireballs of February.”

February Fireballs (splash, 558 px)
A fireball over north Georgia recorded on Feb. 13th by a NASA all-sky camera in Walker Co., GA. [video]

“This month, some big space rocks have been hitting Earth’s atmosphere,” says Bill Cooke of NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office. “There have been five or six notable fireballs that might have dropped meteorites around the United States.”

It’s not the number of fireballs that has researchers puzzled. So far, fireball counts in February 2012 are about normal. Instead, it’s the appearance and trajectory of the fireballs that sets them apart. (more…)


Leap Day Weather

February 27th, 2012 at 10:08 am by under Weather

Since the Earth actually takes about 365 days and a little less than 6 hours to make a complete trip around the sun, every 4 years we make up the added hours with a Leap Day.  However, because the math doesn’t work perfectly, every 100 years there is not a Leap Day.  Again, that math doesn’t work perfectly either, so every 400 years there IS a Leap Day.  Following yet?  So Leap Day happens this year in 2012, and did in 2000, but not in 1900 or 2100, and will again in 2400.  Ok, so what is the weather like on Leap Day here in Austin?  Not too much different that what you would find on February 28th or March 1st.  I went to the files that the National Climatic Data Center keeps and searched the records from 1940-2008 (18 leap days) and found some interesting data.  Normally speaking for a day that falls between February 28th-March 1st, at Camp Mabry a normal high temp is 68, and a normal low temp is 48, with precipitation average of 0.07″.  According to the National Weather Service, the records for the date are 92 (1940), 30 (1924), and 0.53″ in 1996.

Year High Low Precip
2008 81 58 0.00
2004 65 50 0.19
2000 78 64 0.00
1996 43 34 0.53
1992 81 50 0.00
1988 81 60 0.00
1984 56 31 0.00
1980 81 46 0.08
1976 81 61 0.00
1972 78 62 0.00
1968 48 33 0.00
1964 58 40 0.00
1960 43 31 0.16
1956 73 40 0.00
1952 83 50 0.00
1948 68 53 0.07
1944 52 41 0.00
1940 90 51 0.00
Average 69 48 0.06

If you look at the table above you will notice some interesting recurring events.  I made some charts to give these a more visual understanding.

So based off of the data reported from the last 18 Leap Days here in Austin, you can see that the most typical weather is a high temp of 81 (happened 5 times 28%), low temp of 50 (happened 3 times 17%), with fair weather (happened 10 times 56%), and no precip. (happened 13 times 72%).  As crazy as it is that we recorded a high temp 81 degrees on 5 different Leap Days since 1940, I am going to stick with my forecast…  Mostly sunny skies, morning low of 62, afternoon high of 76.   For the record, that would be the 11th fair weather Leap Day since 1940, the 1st 76 degree day, and the 2nd morning low of 62!

 

 


Clear skies giving a great view of the planets tonight!

February 25th, 2012 at 9:21 pm by under Weather

If you have looked into the Western Sky this evening (between 7-9p), you can’t miss the Moon and its friends in the sky.  In fact, this is a great time to look for the planets, we still have dry air at the surface and aloft tonight.  In addition, clear skies, and a waxing crescent of the Moon make the planets stand out even more.

I took a picture (with my cell phone, so don’t judge my photography skills too much) of the planets this evening.  Also, I took a still shot from the Google Sky Maps app on Android to show you what we were looking at.  (click on them for full sized images)

Tonight is the time of the month when Venus “appears” to be the closest it will be to the moon.  However, this is just an optical trick on us, as they are just lined up closely with respect to us.  The moon is roughly 240,000 miles away from us, Venus at its closest is about 23,600,000 miles from earth, or about 23.36 million miles from the moon…. not exactly close.  When Jupiter and Earth are closest, they are about 391,000,000 miles apart.  That means the light you are seeing from Jupiter tonight, happened about 35 mins before you viewed it!  That’s right, it takes light 35 minutes to travel from Jupiter to Earth!

If you didn’t get the chance to see the Moon, Venus, and Jupiter, just look up and you should be able to spot Mars tonight as well!

 

 


Don’t Miss WeatherFest Saturday

February 24th, 2012 at 4:03 pm by under Weather

TornadoWeatherFest
Saturday, February 25, 10 a.m. – 3 p.m.

Get blown away by Texas Severe Weather Awareness Week with a full day of weather science and fun for the whole family.

Take an up close look at one of the world’s most dramatic natural events and the science behind them during a free screening of Hurricane on the Bayou in the IMAX® Theatre at 10 a.m. See storm chasing and water rescue vehicles up close and test your ability to predict and survive severe weather with activities presented by Girlstart, YNN, the National Weather Service, and more. Dr. Burton Fitzsimmons, Chief Meteorologist at YNN will be giving a special presentation in the Texas Spirit Theater at 11:00 a.m. Teachers will earn CPE hours by attending this lecture.

Finally, don’t miss a free screening of the Museum’s original multimedia presentation, Wild Texas Weather, in the Texas Spirit Theater at 12:30 p.m. This production explores the fascinating phenomenon of tumultuous weather in the Lone Star State, both past and present.

Full Schedule of Events

FREE Family Activities

10 a.m.
Free Screening of Hurricane on the Bayou*
IMAX® Theatre

10 a.m. – 3 p.m.
Meet Meteorologists and Weather Experts
Girlstart’s Weather Science Extravaganza

11:00 a.m.
Special Presentation by Dr. Burton Fitzsimmons, YNN
Texas Spirit Theater

12:30 p.m.
Free Screening of Wild Texas Weather*
Texas Spirit Theater

Weather Safety Training

10 – 11:30 a.m.
NWS Skywarn® Basic Training
Austin Room

11:30a.m. – noon
Spotter Safety Course
Austin Room

12:30 – 2p.m.
NWS Skywarn ®Advanced Training
Austin Room

Click here for more information about Skywarn® training.

Educators Workshops – CPE Hours Available

11:00 a.m.
Special Presentation by Dr. Burton Fitzsimmons, YNN
Texas Spirit Theater

1 – 3 p.m.
UTeach Professional Development
Museum Boardroom

*regular admission applies to additional films and exhibits


Windy Friday

February 24th, 2012 at 12:58 pm by under Weather

A strong cold front blasted through our area last night bringing temps down almost 30 degrees from yesterday.  It should be noted our high temp yesterday was 25 degrees above normal, and today’s forecast high is 5 degrees below normal.  Besides the much colder air, we also have had some strong winds today.  The Wind Advisory from this morning has expired, but we could still see some wind gusts in excess of 30mph.  On a day like today when the winds are stronger than normal, it is caused by areas of high pressure and low pressure being closer together than normal, and our backyards are the playground for the pressure.  The air molecules from the high pressure center move away towards the center of the low pressure trying to equalize the overall pressure in the area.  Another way of thinking of this, imagine you are on a bike and you do not want to peddle the wheels.  So if you want to move from point a to b, again without having to do work, you would start on top of a hill (high pressure) and end at the bottom (low pressure).  The closer together the top and bottom of the hill are, the faster you will travel (like faster winds).  If the top and bottom of the hill are far apart, you will move slower.

If you thought the winds today were strong in our area, look at what the folks at NASA have found, a black hole with a wind speed that clocked in around 20 million miles per hour!!!!

(The image and the story come from the NASA website)

Chandra Finds Fastest Wind From Stellar-Mass Black Hole

This artist’s impression shows a binary system containing a stellar-mass black hole called IGR J17091-3624, or IGR J17091 for short. The strong gravity of the black hole, on the left, is pulling gas away from a companion star on the right. This gas forms a disk of hot gas around the black hole, and the wind is driven off this disk.

New observations with NASA’s Chandra X-ray Observatory clocked the fastest wind ever seen blowing off a disk around this stellar-mass black hole. Stellar-mass black holes are born when extremely massive stars collapse and typically weigh between five and 10 times the mass of the Sun.

The record-breaking wind is moving about twenty million miles per hour, or about three percent the speed of light. This is nearly ten times faster than had ever been seen from a stellar-mass black hole, and matches some of the fastest winds generated by supermassive black holes, objects millions or billions of times more massive.

Another unanticipated finding is that the wind, which comes from a disk of gas surrounding the black hole, may be carrying away much more material than the black hole is capturing.

The high speed for the wind was estimated from a spectrum made by Chandra in 2011. A spectrum shows how intense the X-rays are at different energies. Ions emit and absorb distinct features in spectra, which allow scientists to monitor them and their behavior. A Chandra spectrum of iron ions made two months earlier showed no evidence of the high-speed wind, meaning the wind likely turns on and off over time.

Image Credit: NASA/CXC/M.Weiss


Barton Springs/Edwards Aquifer drought restrictions eased

February 23rd, 2012 at 10:09 pm by under Weather

Our weekly update from the U.S. Drought Monitor showed more improvement in our local drought conditions. Much of the Austin area has improved significantly–3 drought categories– since last month.  Extreme drought conditions continue over much of the Hill Country.

In another sign of improving drought conditions, drought restrictions have been eased in the Barton Springs/Edwards Aquifer Conservation District. Here are those details from the BSEACD:

(Austin)  The Board of Directors of the Barton Springs/Edwards Aquifer Conservation District eased drought restrictions from Stage III Critical Drought to Stage II Alarm at its Board meeting this evening, effective immediately.  With above average rainfall this winter, soils reached saturation and runoff created enough creek flow to contribute some recharge to the aquifer.  Both of the District’s drought triggers have now crossed back over their respective Stage II Alarm Drought thresholds.  The Lovelady Monitor Well depth-to-water is above 190.7 feet and continues to rise; the Barton Springs 10-day average discharge is well above its 20 cubic feet per second threshold.

While water levels in the aquifer are on the rise, without continued above average rainfall, the District could find itself back in Stage III Critical Drought this summer. “In 2010, Hurricane Alex and Tropical Storm Hermine brought record rainfall to Central Texas.  This time we’ve seen smaller, more frequent rain events that are finally causing slow rises in our monitoring wells,” commented Brian Smith, Principal Hydrogeologist with the District. (more…)


LCRA approves new water management plan

February 23rd, 2012 at 1:15 pm by under Weather

The Lower Colorado River Authority is changing how they release water from the Highland Lakes so they can better cope with a drought like the one we’re in. The LCRA’s board of directors approved a new water management plan Wednesday.

Lake Buchanan during drought (Courtesy: Michael Taylor)

Here’s more from the LCRA:

LCRA’s Board of Directors Wednesday approved a new Water Management Plan for lakes Buchanan and Travis that provides LCRA more flexibility to respond to severe droughts.

Wednesday’s 10-5 vote was the culmination of more than 18 months of work by LCRA and an advisory committee made up of volunteers from throughout the basin. The plan determines how water is allocated from lakes Buchanan and Travis, the region’s water supply reservoirs. It will now be sent to the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality for final approval.

“The Board should be proud of the complete and thorough vetting of this plan,”LCRA Chair Tim Timmerman said. “Board members showed that they can disagree about a weighty specific issue, but disagree agreeably. The people of the basin should be gratified in knowing that the Board, our stakeholders and the LCRA staff succeeded in revising a management plan for lakes Travis and Buchanan that seeks to balance a wide variety of needs.”

The version of the plan approved Wednesday contains important changes recommended by the advisory committee, as well as changes recommended during the public comment period. Nearly 450 written comments were submitted to LCRA, and 49 people commented to the Board in person during meetings on Tuesday and Wednesday.

“Today’s vote is representative of the heartfelt passion that has been evident in the 18-month long stakeholder process,”said LCRA General Manager Becky Motal.

(more…)