The 10pm data is out on Tropical Storm Debby, and it is not good news for parts of Florida.  The latest advisory (#7) shows the winds have remained at 60mph, and the movement continues to be stationary.  The storm has had some drier air move into the core, so the majority of the rainfall right n0w is falling over Florida.  Since the storm is over warm Gulf waters, and in a relatively low sheared environment, the system is forecast to moisten up over the next day or two as it slowly drifts northward.  A building ridge to the north is blocking the Tropical Storm from moving much through the day today.  Forecast models keep this ridge blocking the storm from moving much over the next few days, and then as the ridge breaks down, it will allow for some movement to the northeast later in the week.

Below are the forecast model tracks for Debby tonight.  Finally we are seeing a lot more agreement compared to 24 hours ago.

The official NHC forecast for Debby is below, and it shows that slow movement to the north over the next few days.

If this forecast does verify, this could mean record amounts of rainfall over the next few days in Florida.  Below is the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center rainfall estimate total for the next 5 days.  If you look at the bulls-eye near the Florida Panhandle…that is right, almost 2 feet(23.7″)!!!