Invest 95L likely to become Atlantic basin’s next named storm

July 7th, 2013 at 9:57 am by under Weather
The latest visible satellite animation of Invest 95L in the open Atlantic Ocean (courtesy: NOAA)

The latest visible satellite image of Invest 95L in the open Atlantic Ocean (courtesy: NOAA) Click the image for an animated loop.

The newest National Hurricane Center ‘invest’ (area of low pressure that the NHC is monitoring for development) is showing better signs of organization Sunday morning, and will likely become the Atlantic basin’s next named tropical storm.

As of Sunday morning the invest still lacks a closed low-level circulation, but atmospheric conditions will be favorable for further development over the next 48 hours. NHC has given Invest 95L a 40% chance of developing into a tropical system over the next two days.

Computer-model tracks for Invest 95L (courtesy: Weather Underground)

Computer-model tracks for Invest 95L (courtesy: Weather Underground)

Tropical forecasting models are consistent in tracking Invest 95L west-northwestward towards the Windward Islands. As it continues on this track, models indicate the storm will likely strengthen into a tropical storm (winds of 39-73 mph).

After that, the strength of the storm will depend greatly on its amount of interaction with the mountainous terrain of Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Cuba.  If the storm steers clear of the mountains, it will likely retain/gain strength, but if it tracks over mountainous areas the storm will weaken.

Those with travel plans to Florida or the Caribbean should monitor this system for further development.

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