Today we finally got to 100 again. It has been more than a week since we last hit 1oo (a week ago Saturday), and the forecast is calling for a little mini-streak of 100′s coming up this week. A big high is going to dominate our weather over the next week, so don’t expect much of anything from the rainfall department. Typically this is the hottest and driest part of the entire year, so there is nothing terribly uncommon about this. In fact, if we had not gotten all the good rainfall earlier this month, temps today and the next few days would probably be closer to 105 or higher. Today was only the 10th day that we hit 100 this year, compared to 45 days by this time last year. We have also seen a lot more rain than we did by this time last year too.
How about the Atlantic Hurricane season? It got off to a very quick start, but since has been very quiet. So far we have had 3 tropical storms, and 1 hurricane this season. Our first two tropical storms occurred before the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane season, the next two in June, and now 0 (zero) in July. Last year we had 4 tropical storms by the same point in July, with 3 of them occurring in the last 10 days of July. Typically hurricane season starts to pick up this time of year. Look at the chart below from the National Hurricane Center
I found some other interesting information on the Hurricane Center website that shows that historically speaking we are ahead of schedule this hurricane season. However, I should note the building El Nino should help to keep the forecast for a near normal activity season in check.
Progress of the average Atlantic season (1966-2009). Date upon which the following number of events would normally have occurred.
|Number||Named systems||Hurricanes||Category 3 or greater|
|1||July 9||Aug 10||Sep 4|
|2||Aug 1||Aug 28||Oct 3|
|3||Aug 13||Sep 9||-|
|4||Aug 23||Sep 21||-|
|5||Aug 31||Oct 7||-|
|6||Sep 8||Nov 23||-|
Back to our weather at home….. Clearly the heat ridge over our area is going to be impacting our area past the current forecast cycle of the next 7 days. Below are images from the Climate Prediction Center, which show much above normal temps for much of the country for the next couple of weeks. Below are the forecast graphics for days 8-14 in the forecast (Monday 8/6 – Sunday 8/12).