We still can’t be 100% sure that rain showers will end by Friday morning, but it looks very likely. With that said, here is your official KXAN First Warning Weather forecast for ACL Fest weekend #1.
A new special issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society investigates the climate change connections of a wide variety of extreme weather events. The report finds that climate change worsened many heat waves, including events in Australia, China, Korea, and Japan. Climate change is also implicated in worsening several droughts, including Europe’s hot dry summer and New Zealand’s 2013 drought.
These connections underscore a larger shift in climate science. Scientists once hesitated to connect present-day extreme weather events to climate change, instead focusing on future projections. But we now know that climate change is already worsening many extreme events, with both economic and human consequences. The authors of the report further emphasize that even for events where no climate link is documented right now, they cannot rule out a connection and that a link still might emerge with additional data.
Several studies focus on the California drought, with one study finding that climate change has increased the likelihood of high-pressure “ridges” like the one that has been blocking precipitation from reaching the state. Two other studies offered mixed results after investigating a different and limited set of factors. This complex picture led some outlets to summarize the climate connection for the drought as a whole as “uncertain,” but it would be more accurate to say that some contributing factors to the CA drought have been linked to climate change while others remain uncertain. It should also be noted that none of the studies in the report took California’s high temperatures into account, a fact that some media coverage has called out. California is on track for its warmest year ever, and warmer temperatures intensify droughts by increasing water evaporation.
On precipitation, the special issue found that that climate change has increased extreme precipitation across the U.S., as well as worsening extreme rain and flooding in India. This echoes the conclusion of many outside sources including the most recent IPCC report. A separate study suggested that climate change did not worsen extreme rain in Colorado, but this might be a rare outlier: the study’s lead author has said that Colorado is “one of the few areas in the world where that seems to be the case.” He further cautioned that the Colorado study “raises a lot of questions” and is not the final word.
Source: Climate Nexus
While much of the Austin and Central Texas area has received much more rain than normal in September, the same can’t be said for North Texas. The DFW area is about to officially have experienced the driest September on record.
Driest September on Record for Dallas/Fort Worth?
Without additional rainfall at DFW Airport before the end of the month,
this will be the driest September on record for Dallas/Fort Worth.
This is likely to be the 4th calendar month this year with less than an inch of rain.
For the year to date, 2014 is among the driest years on record.
DFW is on track for a record dry September. So far this month they have had only 0.06 inches of rain. The record driest September is 0.09 set in 1984. In contrast, the wettest September for the official Dallas-Fort Worth site was back in 1932 when 10.80 inches fell. The average September rainfall is 2.55 inches.
* through September 28
I hope you’ll join me this weekend for Puppy Mill Awareness Day! Reception/Party is Saturday night, main event Sunday at Scholz Garten. Come to both if you can! CLICK HERE for details.
Hundreds of world leaders including President Barack Obama and U.N. Secretary General Ban-Ki Moon are gathering this week at the U.N. to discuss climate change, and build momentum for a new internationally binding agreement that can be enacted in 2015.
CLICK HERE to visit the TakePart website, and be sure to watch the opening film!
The Austin Animal Center, in partnership with several animal welfare groups, will host the first-ever Austin Pittie Limits event from 11 a.m. to 4 p.m. on Sept. 27. The Austin Animal Center is located in east Austin at 7201 Levander Loop.
Austin City Limits Music Festival is scheduled for the beginning of October, which is also Pit Bull Awareness Month, and we want to kick the festivities off in style by teaming up with other local animal welfare partners for an event that celebrates the diversity of “bully type dogs” and helps our community to better understand them and meet their needs.
Austin Pittie Limits will include live music and fun activities for the entire family, lots of adoptable dogs, plus informational booths about animal welfare resources available in our area, effective and positive dog training, prizes, goodie bags for adopted dogs, dog agility demos, games to play with your dog, and even a chance to make your own dog toys for active dogs! The event is free and open to the public, and pizza will be available for purchase.
(NASA) Before the Industrial Revolution, Earth’s climate changed due to natural events such as volcanic activity and solar energy variations. These natural events still contribute to climate change today, but their impact is very small compared to the growing levels of greenhouse gases added to the atmosphere by humans burning fossil fuels. NASA’s ongoing Earth science missions, research and computer models help us better understand the long-term global changes occurring today through both natural and manmade causes.
NASA’s MAVEN spacecraft is quickly approaching Mars on a mission to study its upper atmosphere. When it arrives on September 21, 2014, MAVEN’s winding journey from Earth will culminate with a dramatic engine burn, pulling the spacecraft into an elliptical orbit.
NASA’s Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN) spacecraft is nearing its scheduled Sept. 21 insertion into Martian orbit after completing a 10-month interplanetary journey of 442 million miles (711 million kilometers).
Flight Controllers at Lockheed Martin Space Systems in Littleton, Colorado, will be responsible for the health and safety of the spacecraft throughout the process. The spacecraft’s mission timeline will place the spacecraft in orbit at approximately 6:50 p.m. PDT (9:50 p.m. EDT).
“So far, so good with the performance of the spacecraft and payloads on the cruise to Mars,” said David Mitchell, MAVEN project manager at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland. “The team, the flight system, and all ground assets are ready for Mars orbit insertion.”
While many of the same totals will be included below, area LCRA Hydromet rain gauge readings can be found by clicking on our rainfall page.
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1055 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014 ...LATEST 24 HOUR RAINFALL REPORTS... LOCATION AMOUNT TIME/DATE LAT/LON ...TEXAS... ...BASTROP... TOM MILLER DAM 3.99 IN 1000 AM 09/18 30.29N/97.39W 8 NNE CAMP SWIFT 2.18 IN 0715 AM 09/18 30.30N/97.23W SMITHVILLE 1.81 IN 0822 AM 09/18 30.02N/97.15W 5 SE BASTROP 1.67 IN 0700 AM 09/18 30.05N/97.25W 4 E CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE 1.50 IN 0800 AM 09/18 30.16N/97.16W 2 NNE CAMP SWIFT 1.40 IN 0525 AM 09/18 30.23N/97.28W SMITHVILLE 1.40 IN 1027 AM 09/18 30.01N/97.16W 1 NW CAMP SWIFT 1.25 IN 1008 AM 09/18 30.20N/97.30W 1 SE BASTROP 1.19 IN 0800 AM 09/18 30.10N/97.28W 1 WNW SMITHVILLE 1.17 IN 1046 AM 09/18 30.02N/97.17W 3 NE CAMP SWIFT 1.06 IN 0700 AM 09/18 30.22N/97.26W CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE 1.00 IN 0800 AM 09/18 30.15N/97.22W 1 WSW BASTROP 0.97 IN 1045 AM 09/18 30.10N/97.32W 7 NNE WYLDWOOD 0.91 IN 1028 AM 09/18 30.23N/97.43W 3 WSW CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE 0.91 IN 1026 AM 09/18 30.14N/97.27W 2 NNE ELGIN 0.83 IN 0800 AM 09/18 30.39N/97.36W 6 NNW CAMP SWIFT 0.73 IN 1025 AM 09/18 30.27N/97.33W 3 NE ELGIN 0.67 IN 1049 AM 09/18 30.38N/97.35W 2 ESE WYLDWOOD 0.66 IN 1048 AM 09/18 30.11N/97.43W 6 S CEDAR CREEK 0.65 IN 0611 AM 09/18 30.00N/97.50W 5 WSW CEDAR CREEK 0.64 IN 0700 AM 09/18 30.04N/97.57W 1 NW BASTROP 0.61 IN 0800 AM 09/18 30.13N/97.32W CEDAR CREEK BELOW BASTROP 0.49 IN 1026 AM 09/18 30.04N/97.31W 3 W CEDAR CREEK 0.49 IN 1026 AM 09/18 30.08N/97.55W 2 SSW BASTROP 0.38 IN 0620 AM 09/18 30.08N/97.32W 2 SSE BASTROP 0.37 IN 1051 AM 09/18 30.08N/97.29W 2 ENE ROSANKY 0.36 IN 0800 AM 09/18 29.95N/97.26W 1 NE CEDAR CREEK 0.35 IN 0700 AM 09/18 30.09N/97.49W CEDAR CREEK NEAR BASTROP 0.35 IN 1000 AM 09/18 30.08N/97.39W 8 W ROSANKY 0.25 IN 1040 AM 09/18 29.95N/97.44W ...BLANCO... 4 N HENLY 5.38 IN 1050 AM 09/18 30.25N/98.22W 4 SE PEDERNALES FALLS STATE PA 5.19 IN 1027 AM 09/18 30.27N/98.21W 3 WSW PEDERNALES FALLS STATE P 4.93 IN 1025 AM 09/18 30.28N/98.30W (more...)
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 450 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 71 TODAY... .TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. IN ADDITION...A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES SPINNING OFF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE IN AREAS WHERE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCUR AND DUE TO SATURATED SOILS FROM EARLIER VERY HEAVY RAINS. IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE RAPID RISES IN AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND NORMALLY DRY CREEKS. TXC021-053-149-287-299-453-491-190000- /O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-140919T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BASTROP-BURNET-FAYETTE-LEE-LLANO-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...BURNET...LA GRANGE... GIDDINGS...LLANO...AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN 450 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BASTROP... BURNET...FAYETTE...LEE...LLANO...TRAVIS AND WILLIAMSON. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * FLASH FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER LOW LYING AND NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS LIKELY DUE TO HEAVY RAINS. NORMALLY DRY CREEKS AND AREA STREAMS MAY ALSO SEE RAPID RISES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. &&