Summers are always hot in South Central Texas, however, over the past decade, it has been incredibly hot in and around the Austin area.
The drought has been a large contributor to the over abundance of heat. No rain, means dry soil. As the sun bakes, dry soil means warmer temperatures. Warmer high temperatures then translates into even more dangerous conditions for the elderly community, especially those who can not afford air conditioning (a good transition into our Summer Fan Drive!). Today is Fan Fare Friday (read all about it in Jim Spencer’s post below), and if you cant make it out to Threadgill’s to make a donation and take in the fun today, don’t worry! Donations to help our neighbors stay cool this Summer will be accepted ALL SUMMER!!
So here it is…
CURRENT ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A TRANSITION FROM ENSO-NEUTRAL TO EL NINO CONDITIONS IS UNDERWAY. EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE BY LATE SUMMER OR EARLY FALL, HOWEVER, AND THERE CONTINUES TO BE CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT AMONG PREDICTIONS OF THE STRENGTH AND DURATION OF THE EVENT. AT THIS POINT, AN EL NINO OF MODERATE STRENGTH IS MOST LIKELY. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER (JAS) 2014 INDICATES ELEVATED ODDS OF ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS ALONG THE WEST COAST. ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED FOR THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, THE SOUTHEAST U.S., AND PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST. THE CHANCES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ENHANCED FOR ALASKA. THE JAS 2014 PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK CALLS FOR ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THERE IS A FAIRLY LARGE REGION OF ELEVATED CHANCES FOR ABOVE-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR MUCH OF THE INTERIOR WEST, FROM PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES NORTHWARD TO IDAHO AND SOUTHERN MONTANA. IN AREAS WHERE THE LIKELIHOODS OF SEASONAL MEAN TEMPERATURES AND SEASONAL ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE SIMILAR TO CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES, EQUAL CHANCES (EC) IS SHOWN.
In conclusion: Another hot and dry summer may be on the way…..