More Cold Rain Coming…and More Arctic Fronts

January 5th, 2009 by Jim Spencer

Freezing Rain in Florence - Photo by Kevin Loeffler

Jim Spencer  It wasn’t just cold rain, but freezing rain in parts of Williamson County and the Hill Country this morning.  The photo above was taken in Florence by Kevin Loeffler at around 9 o’clock this morning.

When rain falls as liquid and freezes on objects or roads, it’s called freezing rain.  If the rain drops are frozen as they reach the ground, this is defined as sleet. Many times you’ll hear us talk about a “wintry mix.”  That’s when we’re expecting a combination of sleet, freezing rain, and/or snow.  Here’s a chart from the National Weather Service that illustrates how each type of precipitation forms:

Winter Precipitation Type

Fortunately, temperatures have remained above freezing area-wide since then, and near steady temperatures are forecast overnight, so any additional icing should be minimal. 

Rain is expected to increase across the area again tonight, then end from west to east beginning early Tuesday morning.  Additional rainfall totals of 1/4″ to 1/2″ are expected.

This won’t be our last bout of winter weather though, as another strong cold front is expected Saturday.  Computer models are not in agreement that this front will also be followed by a cold rain and/or ice.  We’re going to keep the probabilities of precipitation low at this time, but will be watching the weather pattern carefully this week.

Big Cold Outbreak Next Week?

This coming weekend’s cold front will be followed by a quick warm-up Monday through Wednesday, but then an even stronger cold front may move in early Thursday.  There are also indications that this front could be followed by a winter storm system that could bring rain, if not a wintry mix back to our area by early Friday.  Again, I’m talking about next week, which is still a long way off, which in this business makes this forecast subject to significant modification!

In the immediate future, after tomorrow morning’s cold rain, look for a significant warming trend, with temperatures returning to the 50s tomorrow, 60s Wednesday and 70s Thursday and Friday.

Rainy days

January 4th, 2009 by Natalie Stoll

Upper level energy over southern California will work its way east tonight providing the forcing we need to get some showers going in central Texas. As the overrunning pattern sets up, light rain could move into Austin as early as midnight. Something we desperately need! Some areas again could see up to an inch of rain over the next two days.

Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from the HPC for tonight through Tuesday night:

QPF

Tonight, though, the Hill Country and northern areas will have to watch the temperatures closely. Once the rain begins cooling the air, some places could dip close to 32 degrees. Freezing rain is a very small possibility by early tomorrow morning. Near Dallas, however, there is a better chance for the freezing precip and the National Weather Service in Fort Worth is issuing a freezing rain advisory from 3 a.m. until noon Monday.

Freezing Rain Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2009

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...

.COLD AIR CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER
INTO NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL TO BELOW FREEZING GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A
GOLDTHWAITE TO PARIS LINE WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 20S ACROSS
FAR NORTHWEST PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
RAPIDLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR
DRIZZLE DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO
HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AND HOW FAR SOUTH THE FREEZING
LINE WILL BE LOCATED. RECENT WARM WEATHER WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT
FOR GROUND TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY COOL. AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A GOLDTHWAITE TO PARIS LINE WILL HAVE THE GREATEST
CHANCE FOR FREEZING PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY.
VERY LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED ROADS AND
BRIDGES.

TXZ115-116-129-130-141-142-051000-
/O.NEW.KFWD.ZR.Y.0001.090105T0900Z-090105T1800Z/
STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-EASTLAND-ERATH-COMANCHE-MILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...CISCO...
EASTLAND...RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...COMANCHE...
DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE
332 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2009

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY FOR LIGHT ICING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
12 PM CST MONDAY.

AREAS OF LIGHT DRIZZLE OR RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS LATE TONIGHT. FREEZING RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER
30S. VERY LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED ROADS
AND BRIDGES. THE FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END BY
NOON MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. SLOW DOWN AND
USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE THE
FIRST PLACES THAT ICY SPOTS WILL DEVELOP.

Austin metro and areas east should remain in the mid to upper 30s and stay clear of freezing precipitation. Good news for us! Remember your umbrella as you get ready for work. You’ll probably need it at some point Monday and into early Tuesday. Have a nice start to you work week!

Back to cooler conditions

January 3rd, 2009 by Natalie Stoll

Unseasonably warm conditions today bumped afternoon highs into the low 80s. We didn’t quite make it to the record at Camp Mabry which is 86 degrees set in 2006.

It will stay mild this evening with mostly clear skies. An early Sunday morning cold front will bring much cooler and windy conditions. Expect the northerly winds to be between 15 and 25 mph. Until the moisture returns, the chance for rain will hold off until late Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday. Hopefully we’ll see a decent shower or two. An occasional thunderstorm is possible as well.

Some areas especially east of I-35 could see up to an inch of rain between tonight and Tuesday night.

Quantitative precipitation forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center:

QPF

Enjoy your perfect Saturday evening!

Finally Some Rain in the Forecast!

January 2nd, 2009 by Jim Spencer

Jim Spencer    2008 may be behind us, but the drought continues.  And let’s not forget the historical significance of what is happening here in Central Texas.  Here is a list of the top 5 driest years in Austin since record keeping began in 1856, and notice that 2008, with only 16 inches of rainfall, ranks #4, and was the driest year since 1956: 

1.  1954  11.42

2.  1956  15.41

3.  1917  15.58 

4.  2008  16.07   

5.  1963  17.30

The good news–there is rain in the forecast.  While it won’t be enough to have any significant impact on our drought, it is possible that some of our area, especially counties along and east of IH-35, could receive more than one inch of rainfall in two storm systems that will affect our area tonight and Saturday, and then again Monday. 

In addition, there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms as the disturbance moving into the Big Bend area tonight tracks east toward Central Texas early Saturday.  Here’s the risk area from the Storm Prediction Center:

Severe Storm Outlook through Saturday

Here is a map from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center that shows how much rain could fall over the next five days: 

Rainfall Next 5 Days

It will also be colder Monday.  In fact, after unusually warm weather today and Saturday, a cold front Sunday will bring temperatures back to normal, then as the clouds and rain begin Monday it will be a very chilly day, with high temperatures remaining in the 40s. 

TODAY’S POLLEN COUNT:

Mold 719 Medium

Cedar 54 Medium 

Here’s a Public Information Statement from the National Weather Service about the weather in 2008, followed by another interesting look back at significant local weather events last year. 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1050 AM CST THU JAN 1 2009

…2008 WEATHER SUMMARY…

2008 WAS ONE OF THE DRIEST YEARS OF RECORD FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
THE DROUGHT THIS YEAR FOLLOWED A BRIEF VERY WET PERIOD FROM JANUARY
TO AUGUST 2007…THAT WAS PRECEDED BY A DROUGHT FROM THE SPRING OF
2005 THROUGH 2006.

RAINFALL FOR 2008 WAS THE 4TH DRIEST AT AUSTIN MABRY…WITH 16.07
INCHES OF RAIN…AND THE 5TH DRIEST AT AUSTIN BERGSTROM…WITH 15.98
INCHES OF RAIN.

THE DRIEST YEARS AT AUSTIN MABRY FROM 1856 TO 2008 ARE LISTED BELOW.

1.  1954  11.42     7.  1893  19.04
2.  1956  15.41     8.  1988  19.21
3.  1917  15.58     9.  1901  19.50
4.  2008  16.07    10.  1856  19.63
5.  1963  17.30    11.  1912  20.37
6.  1879  18.34    12.  1909  20.57

THE DRIEST YEARS AT AUSTIN BERGSTROM FROM 1943 TO 2008 ARE LISTED
BELOW.

1.  1954   9.98     7.  1943  18.64
2.  1947  11.87     8.  1955  18.91
3.  1948  13.92     9.  1989  21.00
4.  1956  15.65    10.  1977  21.42
5.  2008  15.98    11.  2005  21.45
6.  1963  15.99    12.  2003  23.38

IN ADDITION…THE PERIOD FROM SEPTEMBER 2007 TO DECEMBER 2008 WAS
ONE OF THE DRIEST 16 MONTH PERIODS FROM SEPTEMBER OF THE PREVIOUS
YEAR THROUGH DECEMBER OF THE FOLLOWING YEAR AT AUSTIN.

FROM SEPTEMBER 2007 TO DECEMBER 2008 AUSTIN MABRY HAD 23.00 INCHES
OF RAIN.  THIS WAS THE 4TH DRIEST 16 MONTH SEPTEMBER TO DECEMBER…
PLUS THE FOLLOWING YEARS JANUARY TO DECEMBER PERIOD AT AUSTIN
MABRY.  THE DRIEST 16 MONTH SEPTEMBER TO DECEMBER…PLUS THE
FOLLOWING YEARS JANUARY TO DECEMBER PERIOD AT AUSTIN MABRY IS LISTED
BELOW.

1. SEPTEMBER 1955 TO DECEMBER 1956…….19.24
2. SEPTEMBER 1916 TO DECEMBER 1917…….20.73
3. SEPTEMBER 1878 TO DECEMBER 1879…….21.85
4. SEPTEMBER 2007 TO DECEMBER 2008…….23.00
5. SEPTEMBER 1947 TO DECEMBER 1948…….25.03
6. SEPTEMBER 1954 TO DECEMBER 1955…….25.21
7. SEPTEMBER 1953 TO DECEMBER 1954…….26.65

LIKE THE FALL OF 2007…YEAR 2008 BEGAN DRY IN JANUARY AND
FEBRUARY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAME TO THE AREA
FROM MARCH TO MAY…FOLLOWED BY A VERY DRY AND HOT JUNE.  SCATTERED
SHOWERS RETURNED IN JULY AND AUGUST…WHERE THE RAIN WAS MORE
NUMEROUS OVER THE WEST PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  VERY DRY
CONDITIONS RETURNED FROM SEPTEMBER TO DECEMBER.  THE FIRST FREEZE
FOR THE FALL OF 2008 CAME ABOUT 2 TO 3 WEEKS EARLIER THAN USUAL.
AS THE YEAR ENDED IN DECEMBER…CONTRASTS BETWEEN WARM AND COLD
INCREASED IN DECEMBER 2008.  TEMPERATURES FELL 40 TO 50 DEGREES
FROM THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING OF DECEMBER 9TH…
2008.  ON DECEMBER 9TH…THE STRONG COLD FRONT INITIALLY BROUGHT
CLOUDS AND RAIN. THE PRECIPITATION THEN TURNED TO SLEET AND SNOW
DURING THE EVENING OF THE 9TH TO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF THE 10TH
FROM PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND EAST TO ADJACENT PARTS OF CENTRAL
TEXAS AND SOME OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  AUSTIN MABRY HAD 0.1 INCHES
OF SNOW ON THE EVENING OF DECEMBER 9TH…WHILE AUSTIN BERGSTROM HAD
A TRACE OF SNOW.  IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY…
DECEMBER 10TH…AUSTIN MABRY AND AUSTIN BERGSTROM HAD A TRACE
OF SNOW.  SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION ON THE EVENING OF DECEMBER 9TH
WAS ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF THUNDERSTORMS AND LIGHTNING.

THE LIST BELOW SHOWS THE WARMEST AND COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF
2008…PLUS THE TOTAL RAINFALL FOR THE YEAR AT SOME LOCATIONS
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LOCATION           COLDEST LOW    WARMEST HIGH      YEARLY RAIN

AUSTIN MABRY       25 JAN. 20TH   105 JUL. 14TH      16.07
                                  105 AUG.  3RD

AUSTIN BERGSTROM   15 JAN. 20TH   103 AUG.  3RD      15.98
INTERNATIONAL                     103 AUG.  4TH
AIRPORT                           103 AUG. 10TH

BURNET MUNICIPAL   23 JAN. 2ND    102 AUG. 3RD       15.52
CRADDOCK FIELD

2008 Year in Review

It seems everyone does a top 10 list at the end of the year for just about everything.  So, how about a Top 10 Central Texas Weather Events list for 2008?  Fortunately for me, my friend Bob Rose at the LCRA did all the dirty work for us, and put together the following:

First, some odds and ends….

 ·         In Austin, the hottest temperature reported this year at Camp Mabry was 105 degrees on 7/15 and 8/3.  For Austin-Bergstrom, the highest temperature was 103 degrees on 8/3, 8/4 and 8/10.

 ·         The lowest temperature for the year was 25 degrees at Camp Mabry on 1/20 and 15 degrees at Austin-Bergstrom also on 1/20.

 ·         Rainfall for the year at Camp Mabry will end up at 16.07 inches, 17.58 inches below normal.  47 percent of normal rain.  The 4th driest year on record dating back to 1856.  The driest year since 1956.

 ·         Rainfall for the year at Austin-Bergstom will end up at 15.98 inches, 18.75 inches below normal.  46 percent of normal rain.  The 5th driest year on record dating back to 1943.  The driest year since 1956.

10 important weather events in Central Texas in 2008, in no particular order:

*May 14-15th   A severe thunderstorm tracked across central Austin producing unusually large and damaging hail of 2 to 4 inches.  Wind gusts of 70 to 80 mph were reported over this same area.  Widespread damage to homes and businesses.

*May 10th  A severe thunderstorm moved over Austin producing 2.25 inch hail at Camp Mabry and 1/8th inch at Bergstrom.  Some damage was produced by this storm. 

*May 13th  A severe thunderstorm moved over Burnet County producing an EF0 tornado.  Surprisingly, only minor damage.

*May 20th  The temperature reached 101 degrees.  This was the 4th earliest 100 degree reading on record.  The temperature also reached 100 degrees on May 23rd. 

*The month of June was the hottest June ever recorded.  The monthly average temperature of 87.4 degrees was 1 degree warmer than the previous record June of 1998.  There were 20 days with the temperature at or above 100 degrees.  This broke the record for the most 100 degree days ever recorded in June (previous record was 17 set in 1925). 

*June through August tied with 1998 for the hottest summer ever.  Average temperature was 86.7 degrees.  For the year, there were 50 100-degree days placing 2008 in third place for the most 100 degrees days in one year.  1925 and 1923 are in first and second place, with 69 and 66 days respectively. 

*September 9th, a weak tornado developed over Lake Buchanan.  The tornado developed in a fairly stable atmosphere and was widely photographed. 

*Unusually cold air arrived on October 28th, dropping the temperature below freezing across most of the Hill Country and a few spots across Central Texas.  The low at AUS reached 33 degrees while ATT reached 40.  This is several weeks ahead of the normal first freeze in autumn.  It should be noted that the barometric pressure reached 30.66 inches at Camp Mabry on October 27th.  This broke the previous October record for highest barometric pressure of 30.65 inches set in 1957. 

*December 9th  The temperature reached a record tying high of 81 degrees at 122 pm.  An arctic cold front came through the area that afternoon, plunging the temperature in the 30s by evening.  The low for the day was 34 degrees, producing a 47-degree span of temperature for the day.  A dusting of snow and light sleet fell across the city in the late evening.  Officially , only a trace of snow was observed but some areas did receive close to a half inch. Big, fat snowflakes were observed for more than an hour across much of the city.

* 2008 will likely close as the 4th driest year on record at Camp Mabry, with just over 16 inches of rain.  An moderate to extreme drought gripped the area for most of 2008.  Annual rainfall has been less than half the normal annual total.   Many springs have run dry.  Aquifers and lakes are low.  Despite 3 tropical systems moving inland along the Texas coast this summer, none of these brought any rain to Central Texas.

* 2008 will likely be the driest year in Austin since 1956, when 15.41 inches was recorded. 

*16 100 degree days were recorded in July at Camp Mabry.  This places July 2008 in 5th place for the most 100-degree days in July.  

Welcome 2009!

January 1st, 2009 by Natalie Stoll

Randy Heisch from Georgetown was up early this morning and caught the first sunrise of 2009.

First 2009 Sunrise

We welcomed in the new year with a chilly night last night. The good news is that tonight will be milder. Expect overnight lows to hit the upper 40s and low 50s.  The Hill Country though could be a touch colder. Some low level moisture will bring a chance for patchy fog late tonight into Friday morning. Take care early in the morning especially. Unseasonably warm temperatures will make for a very comfortable couple of days. Friday afternoon we’re looking at temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. 15 to 20 degrees above normal.

Our ongoing drought conditions look to continue according to the Climate Prediction Center. They are forecasting central Texas will stay drier and warmer than normal through March.

Precipitation Forecast

Temperature Forecast

We will need days of good soaking rain to make a dent in the exceptional drought conditions here. Most of central Texas remains in the very worst drought category according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Drought Conditions

Cedar Fever Warning, the Leap Second, and a 2008 Farewell

December 31st, 2008 by Jim Spencer

The Final Sunset of 2008

Courtesy Randy Heisch, Lake Georgetown

Final Sunset of 2008

THE BURNING CLOCK TOWER

Photos by Sam Cole 

burning-clock-tower-dec-31st-2008.jpg

burning-clock-tower-dec-31st-2008c.jpg

Jim Spencer   Find your allergy medicine!  Austin Allergy Associates measured the highest Mountain Cedar pollen reading of the season today–780 grains per cubic meter. That is considered a high concentration. The mold count was in the medium category at 459 particles per cubic meter of air.  

Cedar season started slowly this December, but counts this high can cause allergic reactions for many who are susceptible to cedar pollen. Unfortunately, the situation will only get worse in the weeks ahead, when cedar pollen measurements in the thousands of grains become typical.  The season for cedar tree pollination winds down in late January. 

A Chilly New Year’s Eve

Happy New Year from all of us here in the First Warning Weather department.  Have fun tonight, but be safe. 

You’ll want to take a jacket along for sure. While it’s certainly a chilly not, it’s not exceptionally cold.  In fact overnight lows will only be a few degrees colder than average, falling just below 40 degrees in Austin, and into the low to middle 30s in the Hill Country.

Winds have diminshed significantly tonight, so there is little if any wind chill factor to deal with. 

A reminder for you that if you plan to use fireworks to ring in the New Year almost all of Central Texas is currently under an outdoor burning ban, which doesn’t prohibit fireworks, but is a reminder that you should be very cautious as wildfires can ignite very quickly and spread out of control.   There are some types of fireworks that are banned due to the dry conditions, and those restrictions vary in different cities and counties. For city of Austin fireworks restrictions click here: http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/fire/fcfaq.htm#fireworks

Here’s that burn ban map:

Counties Currently Under Outdoor Burn Bans

2008 Year in Review

It seems everyone does a top 10 list at the end of the year for just about everything.  So, how about a Top 10 Central Texas Weather Events list for 2008?  Fortunately for me, my friend Bob Rose at the LCRA did all the dirty work for us, and put together the following:

First, some odds and ends….

 ·         In Austin, the hottest temperature reported this year at Camp Mabry was 105 degrees on 7/15 and 8/3.  For Austin-Bergstrom, the highest temperature was 103 degrees on 8/3, 8/4 and 8/10.

 ·         The lowest temperature for the year was 25 degrees at Camp Mabry on 1/20 and 15 degrees at Austin-Bergstrom also on 1/20.

 ·         Rainfall for the year at Camp Mabry will end up at 16.07 inches, 17.58 inches below normal.  47 percent of normal rain.  The 4th driest year on record dating back to 1856.  The driest year since 1956.

 ·         Rainfall for the year at Austin-Bergstom will end up at 15.98 inches, 18.75 inches below normal.  46 percent of normal rain.  The 5th driest year on record dating back to 1943.  The driest year since 1956.

10 important weather events in Central Texas in 2008, in no particular order:

*May 14-15th   A severe thunderstorm tracked across central Austin producing unusually large and damaging hail of 2 to 4 inches.  Wind gusts of 70 to 80 mph were reported over this same area.  Widespread damage to homes and businesses.

*May 10th  A severe thunderstorm moved over Austin producing 2.25 inch hail at Camp Mabry and 1/8th inch at Bergstrom.  Some damage was produced by this storm. 

*May 13th  A severe thunderstorm moved over Burnet County producing an EF0 tornado.  Surprisingly, only minor damage.

*May 20th  The temperature reached 101 degrees.  This was the 4th earliest 100 degree reading on record.  The temperature also reached 100 degrees on May 23rd. 

*The month of June was the hottest June ever recorded.  The monthly average temperature of 87.4 degrees was 1 degree warmer than the previous record June of 1998.  There were 20 days with the temperature at or above 100 degrees.  This broke the record for the most 100 degree days ever recorded in June (previous record was 17 set in 1925). 

*June through August tied with 1998 for the hottest summer ever.  Average temperature was 86.7 degrees.  For the year, there were 50 100-degree days placing 2008 in third place for the most 100 degrees days in one year.  1925 and 1923 are in first and second place, with 69 and 66 days respectively. 

*September 9th, a weak tornado developed over Lake Buchanan.  The tornado developed in a fairly stable atmosphere and was widely photographed. 

*Unusually cold air arrived on October 28th, dropping the temperature below freezing across most of the Hill Country and a few spots across Central Texas.  The low at AUS reached 33 degrees while ATT reached 40.  This is several weeks ahead of the normal first freeze in autumn.  It should be noted that the barometric pressure reached 30.66 inches at Camp Mabry on October 27th.  This broke the previous October record for highest barometric pressure of 30.65 inches set in 1957. 

*December 9th  The temperature reached a record tying high of 81 degrees at 122 pm.  An arctic cold front came through the area that afternoon, plunging the temperature in the 30s by evening.  The low for the day was 34 degrees, producing a 47-degree span of temperature for the day.  A dusting of snow and light sleet fell across the city in the late evening.  Officially , only a trace of snow was observed but some areas did receive close to a half inch. Big, fat snowflakes were observed for more than an hour across much of the city.

* 2008 will likely close as the 4th driest year on record at Camp Mabry, with just over 16 inches of rain.  An moderate to extreme drought gripped the area for most of 2008.  Annual rainfall has been less than half the normal annual total.   Many springs have run dry.  Aquifers and lakes are low.  Despite 3 tropical systems moving inland along the Texas coast this summer, none of these brought any rain to Central Texas.

* 2008 will likely be the driest year in Austin since 1956, when 15.41 inches was recorded. 

*16 100 degree days were recorded in July at Camp Mabry.  This places July 2008 in 5th place for the most 100-degree days in July.  

  Here’s a great article I found yesterday about why today will be 24 hours and one second long!  Enjoy….   Jim2009 to Arrive Not a Second Too Soon

By Joe Rao
SPACE.com Skywatching Columnist
posted: 26 December 2008
8:00 am ET

Wait a second. The start of next year will be delayed by circumstances beyond everyone’s control. Time will stand still for one second on New Year’s Eve, as we ring in the New Year on that Wednesday night. As a result, you’ll have an extra second to celebrate because a “Leap Second” will be added to 2008 to let a lagging Earth catch up to super-accurate clocks.By international agreement, the world’s timekeepers, in order to keep their official atomic clocks in step with the world’s irregular but gradually slowing rotation, have decreed that a Leap Second be inserted between 2008 and 2009. The extra second, ordered by the world’s nominal timekeeper, the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service, will be marked officially at the stroke of midnight on Wednesday in Greenwich, England, the home of what is popularly known as Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) – Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) to the more technically inclined – the standard time for the planet.So at precisely 23:59:60 at Greenwich, England, on New Year’s Eve, there will be a one-second void before the onset of midnight and the start of the New Year. Wednesday will see the 24th Leap Second that has been needed since the practice was initiated in 1972, and will be the first in three years.Keeping the Earth on time

Around the world, to satisfy the requirements of navigators, communication organizations and scientific groups, about 200 atomic clocks in over 50 national laboratories worldwide will be adjusted at local times corresponding to midnight to local times at Greenwich.  On New Year’s Eve, the master clock at the United States Naval Observatory will be adjusted at 6:59:60 p.m. EST, or 23:59:60 GMT.

The extra second is needed to keep the world’s clocks in time with the rotation of the planet.  Time measured by the rotation of the Earth is not uniform when compared to time kept by atomic clocks. Today’s atomic clocks have an inaccuracy of less than one second in 200 million years.

But for various reasons – the sloshing molten core, the rolling of the oceans, the melting of polar ice and the effects of solar and lunar gravity – our planet rotates on its axis at irregular rates, and on average has been falling behind atomic time at a rate of about two milliseconds per day.  It now trails the official clock by about six-tenths of a second. 

As a result of this difference, atomic clocks can get out of sync with the Earth and periodically have to be adjusted.  Since it’s the atomic clocks that are used to set all other clocks, a Leap Second has to be added from time to time to make up the difference. 

Adding the extra second between 23:59:59 on Dec. 31 and midnight on Jan. 1 will put Mother Earth about four-tenths of a second ahead of the clock, giving her a bit of a head start as 2009 begins.

Who said chivalry is dead?

How to see and hear the extra second

Today many retailers market radio clocks as “atomic clocks”; though the radio signals they receive usually come from true atomic clocks, they are not atomic clocks themselves. Typical radio “atomic clocks” require placement in a location with a relatively unobstructed atmospheric path to the transmitter, perform synchronization once a day during the night-time, and need reasonably good atmospheric conditions to receive the time signals.

If you own such a device, you might want to watch what your clock displays just before 0 hours GMT, Jan. 1, which corresponds to 7 p.m. Eastern standard time on Dec. 31. The minute beginning at 6:59 p.m. EST will contain 61 seconds.  When a Leap Second was added in 2005, I watched my own clock closely during that minute as the seconds ticked off.  When the final second of that minute was reached, the number “59″ flashed not once, but twice!

If you don’t have a radio clock, you can bring up a time display on your computer by going to: http://nist.time.gov/.

You can also listen for the Leap Second by tuning in to a shortwave time signal station.  In North America, the “extra tick” can be heard by listening either to station WWV out of Fort Collins, CO (see: http://tf.nist.gov/stations/wwv.html) at 2.5, 5, 10, 15 and 20 megahertz or CHU in Ottawa, Canada (see: http://tinyurl.com/y2wa2y) at 3330, 7335, and 14670 kilohertz.  A listing of shortwave time signal stations for other parts of the world can be found here.

Should you encounter poor reception, try preparing a seconds pendulum by hanging a small weight on a string about 39.1 inches (99.3 centimeters) in length.  Adjust the string length beforehand until the swings exactly match the time signal ticks.  If the beeps denoting the start of each minute occur at the left extreme of a swing before the final (GMT) minute of 2008, they will be heard at the right extremes thereafter. (Although the swing amplitude will be steadily dying down, this does not affect a free pendulum’s oscillation period.)

Ball Drop too early?

By the time the transition from 2008 to 2009 arrives in North America the Leap Second will have already been inserted into the world’s timescale. 

But there was a bit of confusion about all this back in 1972 when the first Leap Second to be inserted on a New Year’s Eve took place.  An astronomer at New York’s Hayden Planetarium took a phone call that day from the engineer who was assigned to drop the famous illuminated ball in Times Square (in those days, the ball was slowly lowered using an old fashioned rope and pulley).  “This can affect my job,” he reportedly said.  “So I want to be sure I don’t drop that thing one second too soon!”

Regardless of how you use your extra second, just keep this one indisputable fact in mind: Whenever you note the time on the clock, realize that it is now – right now – later than it has ever been.

If only today were New Year’s Eve!

December 30th, 2008 by Jim Spencer

 Jim Spencer   After a beautiful day, this would be a great night for an outdoor party, but unfortunately, a cold front that will move through overnight will drop temperatures about 15 degrees tomorrow and insure that it’s a little chilly for Austin’s First Night New Year’s Eve celebration downtown. 

It won’t be anything out of the ordinary really for late December, but this evening would have been perfect.  After high temperatures tomorrow afternoon near 60 degrees, temperatures will fall fairly quickly into the 40s during the evening, then eventually into the 30s late at night.  Fortunately, this cold front will be accompanied by breezy north winds for only a short time, and during the evening, wind speeds should diminish to less than 10 mph. 

New Year’s Day looks cool, with increasing clouds and highs only climbing back into the low 60s.

We’re looking at pretty pleasant weather Friday and Saturday, with increasing clouds and a slight chance for a shower Sunday. 

An upper level low pressure system will track across the state Monday, and looks to bring us a decent chance for rain and a few thunderstorms, but will be moving so quickly that rainfall totals won’t impact our ongoing drought.

A reminder for you that if you plan to use fireworks to ring in the New Year almost all of Central Texas is currently under an outdoor burning ban, which doesn’t prohibit fireworks, but is a reminder that you should be very cautious as wildfires can ignite very quickly and spread out of control.   There are some types of fireworks that are banned due to the dry conditions, and those restrictions vary in different cities and counties. For city of Austin fireworks restrictions click here: http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/fire/fcfaq.htm#fireworks

Here’s that burn ban map:

Counties Currently Under Outdoor Burn Bans

Here’s a great article I found today about why tomorrow will be 24 hours and one second long!  Enjoy….   Jim

2009 to Arrive Not a Second Too Soon

By Joe Rao
SPACE.com Skywatching Columnist
posted: 26 December 2008
8:00 am ET

Wait a second. The start of next year will be delayed by circumstances beyond everyone’s control. Time will stand still for one second on New Year’s Eve, as we ring in the New Year on that Wednesday night. As a result, you’ll have an extra second to celebrate because a “Leap Second” will be added to 2008 to let a lagging Earth catch up to super-accurate clocks.

By international agreement, the world’s timekeepers, in order to keep their official atomic clocks in step with the world’s irregular but gradually slowing rotation, have decreed that a Leap Second be inserted between 2008 and 2009. 

The extra second, ordered by the world’s nominal timekeeper, the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service, will be marked officially at the stroke of midnight on Wednesday in Greenwich, England, the home of what is popularly known as Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) – Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) to the more technically inclined – the standard time for the planet.

So at precisely 23:59:60 at Greenwich, England, on New Year’s Eve, there will be a one-second void before the onset of midnight and the start of the New Year. Wednesday will see the 24th Leap Second that has been needed since the practice was initiated in 1972, and will be the first in three years.

Keeping the Earth on time

Around the world, to satisfy the requirements of navigators, communication organizations and scientific groups, about 200 atomic clocks in over 50 national laboratories worldwide will be adjusted at local times corresponding to midnight to local times at Greenwich.  On New Year’s Eve, the master clock at the United States Naval Observatory will be adjusted at 6:59:60 p.m. EST, or 23:59:60 GMT.

The extra second is needed to keep the world’s clocks in time with the rotation of the planet.  Time measured by the rotation of the Earth is not uniform when compared to time kept by atomic clocks. Today’s atomic clocks have an inaccuracy of less than one second in 200 million years.

But for various reasons – the sloshing molten core, the rolling of the oceans, the melting of polar ice and the effects of solar and lunar gravity – our planet rotates on its axis at irregular rates, and on average has been falling behind atomic time at a rate of about two milliseconds per day.  It now trails the official clock by about six-tenths of a second. 

As a result of this difference, atomic clocks can get out of sync with the Earth and periodically have to be adjusted.  Since it’s the atomic clocks that are used to set all other clocks, a Leap Second has to be added from time to time to make up the difference. 

Adding the extra second between 23:59:59 on Dec. 31 and midnight on Jan. 1 will put Mother Earth about four-tenths of a second ahead of the clock, giving her a bit of a head start as 2009 begins.

Who said chivalry is dead?

How to see and hear the extra second

Today many retailers market radio clocks as “atomic clocks”; though the radio signals they receive usually come from true atomic clocks, they are not atomic clocks themselves. Typical radio “atomic clocks” require placement in a location with a relatively unobstructed atmospheric path to the transmitter, perform synchronization once a day during the night-time, and need reasonably good atmospheric conditions to receive the time signals.

If you own such a device, you might want to watch what your clock displays just before 0 hours GMT, Jan. 1, which corresponds to 7 p.m. Eastern standard time on Dec. 31. The minute beginning at 6:59 p.m. EST will contain 61 seconds.  When a Leap Second was added in 2005, I watched my own clock closely during that minute as the seconds ticked off.  When the final second of that minute was reached, the number “59″ flashed not once, but twice!

If you don’t have a radio clock, you can bring up a time display on your computer by going to: http://nist.time.gov/.

You can also listen for the Leap Second by tuning in to a shortwave time signal station.  In North America, the “extra tick” can be heard by listening either to station WWV out of Fort Collins, CO (see: http://tf.nist.gov/stations/wwv.html) at 2.5, 5, 10, 15 and 20 megahertz or CHU in Ottawa, Canada (see: http://tinyurl.com/y2wa2y) at 3330, 7335, and 14670 kilohertz.  A listing of shortwave time signal stations for other parts of the world can be found here.

Should you encounter poor reception, try preparing a seconds pendulum by hanging a small weight on a string about 39.1 inches (99.3 centimeters) in length.  Adjust the string length beforehand until the swings exactly match the time signal ticks.  If the beeps denoting the start of each minute occur at the left extreme of a swing before the final (GMT) minute of 2008, they will be heard at the right extremes thereafter. (Although the swing amplitude will be steadily dying down, this does not affect a free pendulum’s oscillation period.)

Ball Drop too early?

By the time the transition from 2008 to 2009 arrives in North America the Leap Second will have already been inserted into the world’s timescale. 

But there was a bit of confusion about all this back in 1972 when the first Leap Second to be inserted on a New Year’s Eve took place.  An astronomer at New York’s Hayden Planetarium took a phone call that day from the engineer who was assigned to drop the famous illuminated ball in Times Square (in those days, the ball was slowly lowered using an old fashioned rope and pulley).  “This can affect my job,” he reportedly said.  “So I want to be sure I don’t drop that thing one second too soon!”

Regardless of how you use your extra second, just keep this one indisputable fact in mind: Whenever you note the time on the clock, realize that it is now – right now – later than it has ever been.

Happy New Year!

Saying goodbye to ‘08!

December 30th, 2008 by Mary Lee

Can you believe it’s already the eve before New Year’s Eve? Where does the time go?

Today is shaping up to be a beautiful day across Central Texas with plenty of sunshine and temperatures warming up to the low to mid 70s. We are tracking a cold front in the First Warning Weather Center that will sweep through Central Texas later tonight. Our temperatures will be about 10 degrees cooler tomorrow. New Year’s Eve celebrations will be a little chilly. We’re expecting temps to be in the low 40s at midnight as we ring in the new year! I can’t wait to see what 2009 brings!

By the way, I was out at Auditorium Shores yesterday, and I’m  heading out there right now to see the preparations for First Night Austin. If you haven’t had a chance to check out the huge clock tower, you really should head out there. It’s really cool. Tomorrow, it’s going to be lit on fire! I spoke to the artist, and he said it’s going to be a spectacular sight. He said burning it symbolized how fleeting time is and how our lives are just for a moment. Pretty profound!

Have a great day!

Heater and Fireplace Safety

December 29th, 2008 by Jim Spencer

Jim Spencer  While there’s no official word on the cause of a fatal house fire in Hyde Park this morning, it would not be unusual to find that a space heater was to blame.   Invariably when freezing temperatures occur in our area, reports of house-fires increase, and that unfortunate statistical trend can be directly attributed to improper use of heaters. 

firesafety.gif  Please take a moment to look over these important safety tips from the Austin Fire Department:

 HEATERS

bullet Have a professional inspect and service your central heating unit each year.

bullet Keep the area around the central heating units clear and clean filters regularly.

bullet “Space heaters need space.” Heaters should be at least three feet away from anything that can burn, including the walls, curtains, and bedding.

bullet Never leave space heaters operating when you are not in the room or when you go to sleep.

bullet Electrical and kerosene heaters should be equipped with a cutoff device that will automatically shut off if the unit is tipped over or overheats.

bullet Make sure electric or kerosene heaters have the “UL” approval seal.

bullet Check electric space heaters for frayed or splitting wires. Have all problems repaired by a professional before operating.

bullet Kerosene and natural gas heaters should not be used in an enclosed area unless the area is vented or a window is partially opened to let fresh air in. This prevents the possible buildup of carbon monoxide. If you choose to install carbon monoxide detectors, choose models that are UL-listed, with a digital readout. Follow manufacturer’s directions for proper placement.

bullet Keep children and pets away from space heaters.

bullet Never use heater/AC or water heater closets for storage.

FIREPLACES

bulletMake certain to open the flue in the fireplace before lighting a fire.

bulletOnly burn hardwoods such as oak, maple, or ash in fireplaces. If synthetic logs are used, burn only one log at a time. Due to their construction, these logs produce a hotter fire than most firewood.

bulletNever use lighter fluid, gasoline, or other flammable liquids to start or enhance a fire.

bulletDo not burn paper (Including newspaper and giftwrap), Christmas trees or any holiday greenery in a fireplace.

bulletChimneys should be professionally inspected each year and cleaned after burning approximately one cord of wood.

bulletUse a metal fireplace screen to prevent sparks from flying out.

bulletMake sure fires are out before going to bed or leaving the house.

bulletKeep children away from the fireplace at all times.

bulletAvoid wearing loose, flowing clothing near a fire.

bulletAlways cool the ashes before taking them out of the fireplace. Place the ashes in a metal container and allow them to sit for several days or wet down thoroughly before putting them into a trash container or dumpster.

bulletUse a spark arrestor, which is a metal screen that covers the top of the chimney and prevents sparks from escaping. (It also will prevent birds from building nests in the chimney.)

Here’s a link to other important safety information: http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/fire/safetytips.htm

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Here’s what’s going on weather-wise.  Another cold night is in store here in Central Texas.  Readings should fall to near or below freezing again early Tuesday, but very pleasant afternoon readings in the 70s are forecast. 

Too bad that tomorrow isn’t New Year’s Eve, because early Wednesday another cold front will blow through, insuring that it will be very chilly during all the festivities that evening. 

New Year’s Day will be pleasantly mild, as highs reach the 60s.  Fairly quiet, seasonal weather will continue through the coming weekend.   In fact, I’ve been looking at some longer range model data that indicate fairly benign, and unfortunately, mostly dry weather for the first week to 10 days of January. 

TODAY’S POLLEN COUNT:  Mold 612 Medium

                                                     Cedar 114 Medium

Tonight’s Moonset by Sam Cole

Cold night but warm-up in store

December 28th, 2008 by Natalie Stoll

 A mid-level shortwave raced through today. That’s why we’ve seen all the cloud cover and some early morning showers. That will continue to move east. Clouds will decrease and we’ll see a chilly night. The Hill Country could drop into the 20s. The rest of us will see temperatures right around freezing.

Monday brings a bit warmer weather as we see the return of zonal (west to east) flow in the upper layers of the atmosphere. We’ll warm into the upper 60s and low 70s especially with mostly sunny skies. Those unseasonably warm conditions should stick around for Tuesday as well. New Year’s Eve though another cold front drops temps. You’ll need a coat or wrap that night. Stay warm… and safe!

Whenever I get really nice photos, I can’t just keep them to myself! So, here’s a few beautiful ones from Georgetown this morning. Randy Heisch sent them in.

Georgetown Sunrise

Georgetown Sunrise

We always love to see viewer weather pictures! Email yours to weather@kxan.com.